Living the Dream.





Monday, January 19, 2009

re: "Iran, Hamas, and deterrence"

TigerHawk ("thoughts of the day on international affairs, politics, things that strike us as hilarious and personal observations") is drawing some conclusions about fighting Hamas in Gaza.

Money quote(s):

"Not only is our enemy Iran actively waging proxy war against Israel, but its Shiite radicals are, apparently, more than willing to do it through Sunni stooges. So much for that sectarian divide, which is supposed to preclude Iranian coooperation with Sunnis in armed struggle (see "myth" #7 in this Juan Cole post). Israel is our front line against those bastards, and anybody who thinks that they will suddenly go all peaceful once they have driven Israel into the sea is smoking something stronger than weed."

&

"This gets to the heart of Israel's geopolitical rationale, and its metric for "victory" in this context: Hamas was obviously not deterred before -- otherwise, it would have expected this overwhelming response to its rocket attacks. Hamas launched those rockets because it did not believe Israel's implicit or explicit threat to retaliate. Israel's objective is to reestablish that belief. Israel will have "won," therefore, not when it wipes out Hamas for all time (which probably is not possible), but when Hamas finally does expect massive retaliation for its aggression."

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