Living the Dream.





Thursday, March 31, 2011

re: "Threats and Security"

Dr. Jerry Pournelle at Chaos Manor ("The Original Blog *") explains an aspect of asymmetrical warfare.


Money quote(s):


"Modern warfare often incorporates a form of jiu jitsu, the martial art that causes the opponent to use his strength against himself. Clearly al Qaeda is ahead on points in this conflict: they have taken casualties and sustained high costs and losses, but they have caused us to expend far more blood and treasure than they have."


&


"(T)he United States has people better at strategic planning than this. We have people who know something of jiu jitsu -- we did, after all, win the Cold War despite many communist sympathizers among the leading intellectuals in the US -- but they do not seem to have a great deal of influence now."


The good news is, there are still quite a few of us old Cold Warriors still on the payroll, and we know where lots of the (still living) rest can be found.


And, if all else fails, we have an entire upcoming generation of military leadership, blooded in Iraq and Afghanistan, who are absolutely itching to solve this problem.


re: "Let’s see. What else can the GOP surrender on…? "

Jeff G. at Protein Wisdom ("because not just anybody can summarize the news") has a good handle on the nature of the problem.


Money quote(s):


"I understand that we can’t deport the more than 12 million illegals already in this country; but we shouldn’t reward them with a “path to citizenship” either. Secure the border. Then let the illegals decide what they want to do once we make it clear that we will not be granting any amnesty to lawbreakers. Period.


If these people are living scared in the shadows, there’s a reason for that: they are here illegally. And with real unemployment and underemployment already at close to 20% in this country, the last thing we need to do is flood the labor market with millions of legal, unskilled laborers.


You want to talk to me about increasing guest worker programs? Fine. But in the meantime, we need to be cracking down on employers who take advantage of illegal labor — in conjunction with releasing these same employers from growth-choking taxation and the kinds of ridiculous and redundant regulatory burdens that drive up the cost of doing business to begin with."


Nothing dramatic. Simply enforce the laws that are already on the books.




re: "Dept. of Skullduggery open for business?"

Uncle Jimbo at Blackfive ("the paratrooper of love") examines a convenient leak.


Money quote(s):


"(T)his is yet another leak of classified info for political gains. But who did it and why?"


Cui bono? (As our Roman forebears might ask.)


"If we are covertly, well I guess more overtly now, helping the rebels then the whole bold-faced lie he told on television was a bold-faced lie. I mean you can call it misdirection or discretion and you would be correct. But you can dang sure call it a prime time prevarication and it makes it impossible to pretend we are just refueling some planes for our buddies the French."


This puts me in mind of a recent online discussion I had the good sense to quickly withdraw from, particularly since it was under my right name. Sometimes diplomats (not so often as politicians or journalists, but still) are called upon to utter the untrue. Not for fun, not for personal gain, but because sometimes the diplomatic thing to do is fudge (or even fabricate) the truth a bit (or a boatload).


"(L)et's enjoy this rare moment of transparency and just be happy that O is willing to allow the skulking about with satchels of cash and supressed weapons that really makes the best diplomacy."


Department of Skullduggery, Bureau of Lawyers, Guns and Money; how may I direct your call?

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

re: "A Fitting Inspiration"

TSB at The Skeptical Bureaucrat ("Giving my fellow Americans the view from my cubicle") found a sign for hope.


Money quote(s):


"Omar Mukhtar, the political-religious figure who led native resistance to Italian colonization of Libya from 1912 to 1931. Anthony Quinn played him in the movie.


A national hero. That's a good sign."




re: "In a War That Must Not Be Named, Leadership and Security On the Line"

Domani Spero at Diplopundit ("Just one obsessive observer, diplomatic watcher, opinionator and noodle newsmaker monitoring the goings on at Foggy Bottom and the worldwide available universe") makes some on-point observations about this life, this business, we have chosen. 1, 2


Money quote(s):


"Worldwide Availability: All officers are considered worldwide available, that is, prepared to go where needed; ready, at any time, to meet the needs of the Service. Needs of the Service trumps almost everything else, almost always. The first two tours of entry level officers are normally "directed." New employees can put in their bid lists, but they could end up going to places not on their lists. Needs of the Service. Over 60% of FS posts are considered "hardship," in isolated, unhealthful and even dangerous environments. Family members may not even be authorized to join the employee or even if they join, they potentially could be evacuated at any later time. Once saw a mid-level officer who started with a huge bid list, later shrunk down to 6 positions, all in Iraq. Needs of the Service. He had choices, six of them; all in Iraq."


During the early days of the CPA in Iraq, a number of very junior officers found themselves sent to Iraq solely because they had Arabic language training. In the after-actions and lessons-learned, the Department took something of a thumping for sending its least experienced, most-easily-spared officers to what was, for the uniformed services at least, a national security priority.


Not to knock the service and tremendous efforts of those very junior officers; in fact I honor them even as I note that they should never have been put into those positions in the first place. They were sent because to send the most-qualified, more senior FSOs would have disrupted the ever-so-important normal assignments process (not to mention inconveniencing more senior FSOs).


I remain unconvinced that political sentiments within the career ranks of the Department found service in Bush's Iraq war to be a less pressing priority than later was made the (official) line.


CAA considers himself to have actually been quite fortunate in his assignments thus far, although two out of the three overseas assignments were in hardship posts. At my very first post, I grew quite accustomed to the sound of gunfire in the evenings. Since I was in a "nice" part of town, gunfire there generally could be assumed to be celebratory in nature.


In Iraq, of course, gunfire and explosive BOOMS(!) also became just part of the landscape. I knew that if I heard an explosion and it was on either the hour or the half-hour, precisely, that was just EOD doing their thing.


After Iraq I found myself living in the Virginia suburbs as I struggled to re-adjust to civilian life and to learn a foreign language before I went to my next job. (Still working on the "re-adjust" part, btw.) The apartment Madam-At-Arms found for us while I was away sat perhaps a hundred yards or so from the helipad of a busy hospital center, so at any hour I would hear, quite loudly, the sounds of medivacks coming and going.


I found the sound quite soothing, as helicopter sounds in Iraq were always "friendly."


As I made the rounds being introduced to local officials at my second hardship post, some senior police officers were cautioning me about the dangers to be found in their capital city. Crime. Violence. That sort of thing. When I happened to mention serving at a certain previous hardship post, followed by Iraq, their attitude shifted: "Oh, you'll be fine then."


"Leadership matters. Entry level officers on their first tours obviously do not have the same experience as seasoned officers even if they have previously lived/worked overseas. Their fears are understandable. Their anger at being shut out is also understandable. People need to feel they matter. Telling them to basically suck it up because they received danger pay or to go ahead and curtail due to legitimate fears is not good leadership and management. It builds distrust and without trust, the game, as the cliché goes, is over; teamwork becomes a fairy tale."


For all the great stride the Department has made towards improving State's traditionally dismal leadership culture, we're just not there yet. New officers are getting leadership training from the very beginning, with reinforcements throughout their careers. It's still not inculcated the way the uniformed services do it (and they have their own, recurrent, problems) but we're getting there. It's the more senior folks, both on the Civil Service as well as the Foreign Service sides, who sometimes fail to get leadership isn't just one of those management fads that comes along periodically, like Six Sigma, just-in-time-inventory, or TQM.


"Perhaps the FSO's account should encourage not just a discussion on leadership in a crisis but also what it means to be a diplomat in this new and turbulent world. Should diplomats need to have a new mindset that they are vulnerable like soldiers? And if so, what does that mean in terms of their ability and training to protect themselves and their loved ones?


DOD which is responsible for extracting large numbers of civilians in harm's way during disasters and civil strife, has a joint publication on Noncombatant Evacuation Operations. In it, it gave top billing to a legal and political maxim, "The people's safety is the highest law."


In fact, it's just not DOD in an evacuation. Organizations often tout their people as their greatest strength and resource and their safety, a sort of prime directive. Why else do we evacuate people from harm's way (except in diplomatic posts in war zones)? Why have companies evacuated their personnel out of Japan in the aftermath of the earthquake/tsunami and with the increasing bad news on the nuclear reactors? As the familiar phrase go -- in the abundance of caution ...to ensure their safety.


But what happens when the highest law collides with strategic national interest?"


&


"(L)eadership and policymakers understand that unarmed civilians in a war zone is at great risk, but they chose to stand up embassies and consulates and put diplomats in the middle of conflict, anyway. An accepted risk.


And why does it take so long, and often at the very last minute for an ordered evacuation to take place? Because it is a political decision, even if no one would admit to that. Governments, including ours, may not want to send the signal that it has lost faith in the ability of the host country to tackle emergencies whether of political nature or natural calamities. Most especially, if the host country is a close ally, and where our national interest requires that we help shore up its support. The negative connotation of an evacuation undermines that. Thus, one can conclude that if employees remain in the danger zone, it means somebody has already calculated that risk against vital national strategic and security interest. And accepted that risk.


I supposed we may think of life in the Service as if it were a weighing scale -- the national strategic and security priorities on one side and on the other side, the acceptable personal risk on the employees. But not everyone will get to look at that scale. And not everyone will get to make the judgment call. Employees do not get to vote, diplomatic missions are not democracies.


They ought to teach this at A100.


On second thought, they ought to have this in the recruitment flyer."


Individual officers need to understand this calculus. We go abroad on our country's business. And while we are not exactly pawns (oh, to reach so exalted a status as "pawn"!), we're usually quite far from any effective assistance other than our most immediate colleagues. I've been blessed with excellent Diplomatic Security and law enforcement colleagues at some posts, and quite awful support at another. Bottom line: FSOs are commissioned officers of the U.S. Foreign Service. We go where we're sent and do our jobs. We're also husbands (and wives) (and partners) and fathers (and mothers). We have to make decisions about our spouses' and families' safety, decisions which may be very different from those we make for our loved ones.


This is the life, the business, we have chosen. God bless us, and those like us.


re: "P.J. Crowley: I stand by what I said about Bradley Manning"

Joshua Keating at Wikileaked ("Inside the State Department's Secret Cables") observes life after government employment.


Money quote(s):


"(R)ecently fired State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley is making a transition to media pundit in record time."


It's kind of an obvious next move for former A/S Crowley. It's not like he's microphone shy.


"Crowley starts by arguing that Manning is" rightly facing prosecution" and "if convicted, should spend a long, long time in prison." But, perhaps since he's already been fired for them, doesn't walk back his previous comments at all"


&


"(I)f your own previously reliable spokesman is calling a government policy "stupid" in public, you probably have a policy in need of urgent review."



Tuesday, March 29, 2011

re: "Obama's Meglomania: What He Should Say Tonight About Libya"

Peter Schweizer at Big Peace thinks the Europeans have our number.


Money quote(s):


"I suggest instead.... that he tell the truth: He got played. Obama got maneuvered into getting involved in Libya because the Europeans, particularly the French and Italians, were concerned about their access to oil and a refugee crisis. And as much as Obama wants to believe that he can “hand over” the Libyan operation to the Europeans, the Colin Powell Rule in International Affairs still applies: ”If you break it, you fix it.” The United States can’t just bomb Libya and then walk away.


The Europeans played Obama so easily because they appealed to his guilt instincts. Obama sincerely believes that under Bush the United States was a Cowboy Empire, insensitive to the sophisticates in Europe. He has been all to eager to demonstrate that he’s different and willing to allow them to lead. What Obama failed to take into account is that Europe has a history of wanting the fruits of military power without actually having military power. It’s the same with Libya. If things go awry, you can bet that the French will gripe and blame the Americans, cajoling the White House to get more firmly involved.


The Europeans no doubt played on Obama’s meglomania and presented this as an opportunity for him to appear both strong and selfless. Strong because he could use military power! ”Selfless” because there are exactly no American interests at stake.


Our enemies and allies are both very shrewd at figuring out what personal qualities they can manipulate in our leaders and using them to their advantage. Sarkozy played Obama perfectly."


As fond as I am of Sec. Powell, I'm less enthused about the "Pottery Barn" rule about owning the things you break, at least when it comes to warfare. There are such things as punitive expeditions, after all, where the whole point is to break things (and leave without paying).


re: "The World Turned Upside Down - (Book)"

Sass And Sweet ("In Search of a Better Exchange Rate... Observations about life as a Diplomat.") has discovered Melanie Phillips.


Yes, that Melanie Phillips.


Brilliant.


She says "I am finding it an interesting read - it *is* well reasoned and well thought out - and it is also very thought provoking on some of the issues the author raises.


Granted, my viewpoints are colored by my own background, education, exposure, personality and continued readings -as everyone's would be. With that in mind, I believe it's good to be mentally and "world-view" challenged from time to time."

Monday, March 28, 2011

re: "OIC Demands Action Against Free Speech"

Pamela Geller at Atlas Shrugs understands that compromising on Constitutional principles will only encourage our enemies.


Money quote(s):


"Qur'an-burning is a stupid idea, of course, but is protected under the laws of free speech. The burning of books is wrong in principle: the antidote to bad speech is not censorship or book-burning, but more speech. Open discussion. Give-and-take. And the truth will out. There is no justification for burning books. If free men are to be free and not live under Islamic law (sharia), then this man can do this if he wants, and his freedom and rights should be protected. Islamic supremacists should not be allowed a victory for their violent intimidation -- if these people want to burn a book, they're free to do so.


If they had burned a Bible, no one would be threatening violence against them.


The Islamic warning that this will threaten American troops is just another terror tactic. This is based on the assumption that they are fighting us because we are doing things they don't like. Actually they are fighting us because of imperatives within the Islamic faith. They will never like us unless we convert to Islam or submit to Islamic rule. If we stop doing things they dislike, where will we draw the line? How far will Sharia advance in the U.S., with Americans afraid to stop its advance for fear of offending Muslims and stirring them up to violence? The Muslim Students Association is already pushing for halal cafeterias, segregated dorms, segregated gym facilities on campus. This is incompatible with American freedom. We have to draw the line.


I will tell you this, Islamic law (sharia) cannot, must not, and will not have its way over our free speech. That is worth fighting for, worth dying for."



re: "This Is Why We Have Meetings...."

Deebow at Blackfive ("the paratrooper of love") explains why one should avoid working with amateurs.

Money quote(s):


"It is my belief that if this "bong hit diplomacy" continues (one of my favorite Uncle Jimbo-isms BTW), we are in for at least a generation of rebuilding our character and relationships around the world, because this President can't seem to be able to order an omelet without having to first check the poll numbers (would mushrooms be offended if ham and onions were not included?), consult what MSNBC thinks about eggs (too much cholesterol--have some granola instead), ask the UN if it violates the eggs rights, get the buy in of our allies to ensure the omelet has the right amount of calories (can't have a "heavy" package omelet--allies might not like it), minimize collateral damage to chicken farms and on and on....

I had an old platoon sergeant who I watched tell my new platoon leader during an unguarded moment while training "Sir, you need to lead, follow or get the hell out of the way." Exactly.... "

Saturday, March 26, 2011

re: "Fullbore Friday"




CDR Salamander ("Proactively “From the Sea”; leveraging the littoral best practices for a paradigm breaking six-sigma best business case in the global commons, rightsizing the core values supporting our mission statement via the 5-vector model through cultural diversity.") has more on Cadet La Porte's bravery.




re: "Libya Exit Strategy"

James Joyner at Outside the Beltway ("an online journal of politics and foreign affairs analysis") should know better than this.


Money quote(s):


"an elementary concept on war planning, the requirement for an exit strategy."


Actually, although it apparently took Sec. Rumsfeld until 2005 to say it, the Weekly Standard discussed it as early as 2003: you want a victory strategy, not an "exit strategy."


"It’s a fundamental precept of national security policy going back to at least the writings of Carl von Clausewitz that wars are fought to achieve political ends and it follows that military strategy must be tailored to achieve political ends. Indeed, countries can lose wars in which their armies are absolutely dominant on the field of battle–as American forces were in Vietnam–if the fighting does not achieve the sought political objectives.


In order for military planners to match tactics and strategy, they must know what the end game is. In the case of total war, such as we fought in World War II, that’s pretty simple: The unconditional surrender of the enemy. In the case of humanitarian interventions, counterinsurgencies, and stability operations, however, it’s much harder.


The concept of an exit strategy is designed to spotlight this dilemma. Simply put: How do we know when we’ve won the damn thing and can stop fighting?"


I'm as Clausewitzian as the next guy (perhaps more), and agree with Mr. Joyner about that. It's the notion of an exit strategy versus one for victory or even a set of objectives or goals, an end state that is worth all the trouble, blood, and treasure that vexes me.


Language is important. The very use of the word "exit" together with "strategy" messages our essential unseriousness about the dead serious business of warfare, and causes our allies many sleepless nights. It signals that our most important objective is to leave, to be uninvolved, even as we commit men and materiel to a conflict.


"The bottom line is that the colonels Ricks is hearing complaining about the lack of an exit strategy aren’t asking for all the answers, just the most important one: What are they fighting for?"


Here we agree. What is our strategic grand objective? From that all lesser operational and strategic issues must necessarily flow.


re: "Obama, Libya Bombing and the UCMJ"

Sean Osborne, Associate Director at the Northeast Intelligence Network ("Investigating threats to our homeland") follows the logical consequences.


Money quote(s):


"President Obama fully and intentionally skirted the U.S. Constitution in illegally ordering the Pentagon to commence acts of war against Libya. In light of this fact President Obama’s orders to the U.S. military to execute these attacks in Libya constitutes an illegal order under the Uniform Code of Military Justice (UCMJ).


Members of the US Armed Forces who obey illegal orders are subject to criminal prosecution." (Emphasis in original text. - CAA)


A similar thought had crossed my mind. We're really in uncharted waters here; up until now presidents have been pretty careful about following the forms of, for instance, the War Powers Act, even if they've denied its Constitutionality.


"The UCMJ allows for the disobedience of illegal orders because such orders constitute a crime, or be part of a criminal conspiracy, either under military, civilian or international law."


Will we see a sequel to H.R. McMasters' classic "Dereliction of Duty" that addresses this someday? Given the current over-lawyered condition of our military and naval forces, it approaches undeniable implausibility that some staff judge advocate hasn't looked at their principal's legal exposure in this regard.


Friday, March 25, 2011

re: "What, Precisely, is the Issue with "Elites"?"

David Foster at Chicago Boyz solicites your thoughts on the topic of elitism.


re: "Unsung American Hero: Cadet Matthew Joseph La Porte"

Joseph Fouche at Chicago Boyz has the untold story of Matthew Joseph La Porte, Virginia Tech Corps of Cadets.


For all the fun that can be made of Air Force ROTC, this cadet stood up when it counted.


Frankly, I think the Air Force and the Commonwealth of Virginia are missing a step by not decorating this young man, posthumously.

Thursday, March 24, 2011

re: "Static, One-Dimensional Analysis 1; Dynamic, Multi-Dimensional Analysis 0"

Andrew at Abu Muqawama ("dedicated to following issues related to contemporary insurgencies as well as counterinsurgency tactics and strategy") gives credit where it's due.


Money quote(s):


"Since the intelligence community is so rarely congratulated when they get something right, it's worth pointing out that had they been wrong, we would not be conducting combat operations in Libya right now. But their order-of-battle analysis, sadly, proved all too accurate. Readers, if you will, join me in a quiet golf clap for the men and women at Langley, Fort Meade and Bolling AFB."


re: "The Constitution and Libya"

Michael Ramsey at Opinio Juris ("a forum for informed discussion and lively debate about international law and international relations") offers his learned opinion.


Money quote(s):


"Every major figure from the founding era who commented on the matter said that the Constitution gave Congress the exclusive power to commit the nation to hostilities. Notably, this included not only people with reservations about presidential power, such as James Madison and Thomas Jefferson, but also strong advocates of the President’s prerogatives, such as George Washington and Alexander Hamilton. As President, Washington on several occasions said that he could not undertake offensive military actions without Congress’ approval. Hamilton is especially significant, because his views on the need for a strong executive went far beyond those of his contemporaries. Yet Hamilton made it very clear that he read the Constitution not to allow the President to begin a war – as he put it at one point, “it belongs to Congress only, to go to war.” "


This seems clear enough. Congress has subsequently, during the Vietnam "Conflict" undertaken to delegate a little bit of that power across branches of government to the presidency, in the War Powers Act. But only within certain expressly circumscribed parameters.


"The fact that our use of force is limited to air strikes should not matter. Limited wars were well-known in the 18th century (Britain and France fought a limited war at sea and in North America during the American Revolution). The U.S. fought two limited wars early in its history, against France beginning in 1798 and against Tripoli in 1801. So far as I know, every person commenting on these events at the time thought that Congress had to authorize any initiation of force, even limited naval attacks. (In 1801, Hamilton argued that authorization wasn’t needed because Tripoli, not the U.S., began the war; but he agreed that congressional authorization would otherwise be necessary even in the context of an attack on a single Tripoli warship.)


Thus the founding generation thought the Constitution reserved war-initiation power to Congress. How could this be, though, if Congress has only the power to “declare War”, which we may think refers to making a (now-outmoded) formal announcement? Why can’t the President begin a war informally, merely by ordering an attack, without a declaration?


The answer is that in founding-era terminology war could be “declared” either by formal announcement or by military action initiating hostilities."


Fair enough. Deeds then, when words would be superfluous.


"Perhaps, though, the President also has power to declare war (after all, the Constitution expressly says only that Congress has it, not that the President doesn’t, and it could be part of the President’s power as commander-in-chief). Returning to Hamilton, a key passage in his Federalist 32 argued that often constitutional power could be held concurrently by different entities. But, he continued, an exclusive grant of power would arise where concurrent power would be “totally contradictory and repugnant” – that is, when one branch’s exercise of a power would wholly undermine an express grant to another branch. Hamilton didn’t give the example of declaring war here, but it fits his model: war, once launched, cannot be undone without consequences. If Congress’ power is to decide when war should begin, it follows that the President cannot independently launch attacks."


That's one of the (several) drawbacks of the War Powers Act; aside from the "nuclear options" of denying funding to American troops under fire and engaged in mortal combat OR initiating impeachment proceedings against, variously, the president and/or the secretaries of defense and state.


"(T)he founding generation’s views are clear and have firm basis in the Constitution’s text: the declare war clause gives Congress the exclusive power to decide when war should be “declared” – meaning begun by “word or action.” In Libya, President Obama has “declared” a war – a limited one, to be sure, but still a war by 18th century definitions – without congressional approval. That contravenes both the Constitution’s text and the founding era’s consensus understanding."


So what is to be done? It would seem that "standing" to do anything rests with two bodies: the Congress and the electorate. It remains to be seen which one, if either, will act, if at all. Neither Congress nor the public wish to deny support to our soldiers, airmen, and sailors who are doing their jobs and going into harm's way. Been there, done that. But note the lack of any "bump" in the president's poll standings.


People (and congressmen) are waiting, giving the benefit of the doubt, but when or if the U.S. begins to take casualties, particularly if "mission creep" occurs and there are "boots on the ground," then all bets are off.



re: "A new use of military force doctrine"

Uncle Jimbo at Blackfive ("the paratrooper of love") is looking for the silver lining, and finds some doctrinal clarity.


Money quote(s):


"Out of the great and ongoing dithering, world sports & war by remote control tour some good may come. If the Libya no fly zone goat rope showed one thing it's that we have no coherent established and articulated policy for the use of military force. We have what seem to be some fairly clear guidance in the Constitution and the War Powers Act, and yet we don't seem to feel like holding our Presidents to the letter of those laws. We seem to recognize that a Commander in Chief needs some freedom of maneuver before having to herd those cats of Congress into a formal declaration of war or some lesser writ of ass kickery."


"Writ of ass kickery" is just pure gold.


Uncle Jimbo concludes, therefore, that:


"The President can, when he deems it necessary, under his Article II constitutional authority as CinC occasionally pummel bad actors, tyrants, terrorists, genocidists etc. as long as he does not roll tanks. It has been common practice for long enough now that we ought to just be able to nod our heads and agree. I don't want any President to have to ask Congress if he can whack a terrorist camp, or send a friendly cruise missile reminder to bad guys. These things can help focus the bad guy's minds on consequences and therefore avoid actual open conflict."


The problem is that these are acts of war, whether legal or Constitutional or not, and the adversary isn't likely to parse the nuances, dontchaknow.


The flip side of that is that the typical adversary has likely been waging war on us already, on the quiet and on the cheap, and didn't ask our Congress for permission to do that either.



Vietnam Syndrome

This will be BHO's Vietnam.

In fact, in the future, the Vietnam war will be called "LBJ's Libya."

re: "On Fungible Resource and Saying Goodbye to the Foreign Service"

Domani Spero at Diplopundit ("Just one obsessive observer, diplomatic watcher, opinionator and noodle newsmaker monitoring the goings on at Foggy Bottom and the worldwide available universe.") marks the departure of one of our own.


Follow the link to find out why.


_____



You should probably read this too.




AFK

Sheesh. I take a couple AFK days and suddenly we fire 112 SLCMs at Libyan targets.

(Just goes to show you can't take your eye off the ball around here.)

Wednesday, March 23, 2011

re: "Could We Just Buy Off Gaddafi's Mercenaries?"





Money quote(s):




"Gaddafi is relying on foreign mercenaries to serve as his security troops just like Romania’s Nicolae CeauÈ™escu relied on hired Palestinians. This is a sure sign that his regime has little to no internal support.



My spouse and I were explaining this to our son who asked, “So, since they’re mercenaries, couldn’t we just outbid Gaddafi?”



We laughed at the idea at first but then stopped to think. Back in the day when mercenaries were far more common, they could sometimes be bought off especially if it looked like their current employer would never be able to pay up. The basic economics of a mercenary life has not changed so maybe Gaddafi’s mercenaries would be just as susceptible to financial inducements as their historical predecessors. Gaddafi supposedly has a lot of money to pay his mercs with but I think it safe to say we have more and a much better track record of paying off."

re: "Every Thing Old is New Again"

Emperor Misha at The Anti-Idiotarian Rottweiler ("HQ of the Rottweiler Empire. An Affiliate of the VWRC.") ponders something akin to lawfare.


Money quote(s):


"Our point is the use of the word “islamophobia”, since that doesn’t merely imply, that establishes a diagnosis of mental illness in those who, apparently, find it troublesome that there are cultures that would celebrate jabbing a knife into the heart of a three-year-old seven times or slitting the throat of an infant sleeping with her loving father, fearing no ill. Because we’ve seen it all before. When liberal fascists can’t find any other way to silence individuals with common sense, they label them “insane.” The Soviets were really good at that, their “asylums” were overflowing with sane people needing “treatment” for their “irrational” thoughts.


And their liberal fascist, national socialist heirs in the west never skipped a beat adopting that approach.


You either agree with them or you get locked up. For your own good, of course."


To old Cold Warriors (yes, from back when dinosaurs ruled the Earth), this tactic will be instantly recognizable. And contemptible.

Tuesday, March 22, 2011

re: "War Powers"

Dr. Jerry Pournelle at Chaos Manor ("The Original Blog *") is a pretty bright guy.


Here's his take:


"(T)here are two holes in the roof of Gaddafi's palace as I reported last night, but the US military now says that Gaddafi is not a target. This probably means that some component of the Tripoli air defense system was installed in or on the palace. Possibly there was a radar on the roof."


These were my thoughts exactly. After all, it's not been unknown, even in the U.S., to station elements of some sort of air defense arrangement on the grounds of presidential palaces, particularly during wartime. As time goes on, however, we're starting to see air strikes on items (tanks, boats) whose connection with enforcement of a no-fly-zone eludes me.


"The President claims the War Powers Resolution as the authorization for the gunboat style bombardment of Libyan air defense forces. I presume he uses Harvard Law School logic: the US is a signatory to the UN treaty. The UN has called for a no-fly zone in Libya. The US is obligated to carry out the mandates of the UN, because treaties are the supreme law of the land and rank with the Constitution. The War Powers Resolution gives the President the power to resist attacks on US forces. Any attempt to impose the no-fly zone would inevitably expose US forces to attack from Libyan air defenses, and therefore it would be absurd to send in US aircraft over Libya while those air defense forces are intact; therefore carrying out the UN resolution did expose US forces to attack, and therefore the preemptive strikes on Libyan air defense targets was within the powers given by the War Powers Resolution. QED."


Dr. Pournelle cuts right to the heart of this matter. It's not as if the U.S. doesn't have a window into the machinations of the U.N. Security Council. As I learned, long ago, when I used to do "model U.N." as a high schooler, the U.S. has a permanent seat on the Security Council. And the U.S. has a permanent veto power in that body as well. So when the U.N. Security Council tells us something, it's somewhat like whispering in our own ears.


"Note that there is in fact some validity to the President's logic as explicated above. (Note also that I made it up: this is not based on any official statement I know of.) If you grant that the US is obligated to respond to the UN resolution imposing a no-fly zone, then the rest certainly follows, and any President who sent in US forces without adequate preparation would and should be condemned. However: the US holds a veto over such UN resolutions, and in fact the US sought that resolution. The counter argument here is that a UN resolution cannot give the President of the United States power to make wars without the consent of Congress, and if the President believes the US is obligated to act when the UN mandates such an action, then he ought not consent to such a UN resolution without authorization of Congress. That, however, contradicts the almost universally approved doctrine that matters of foreign policy are pretty much the business of the President and the President alone, and while Congress and particularly the Senate may advise the President, neither Congress nor Senate have any veto over how the President uses the UN votes and veto powers." (Bold typeface added for emphasis - CAA)


"Usually when we debate the limits to the power of the president to make (as opposed to declare) war, it is already too late: we are in, and the Legions need our support. This time we are not yet in, and we have no particular obligations to anyone. A good time for a real debate on these matters.


As to my views, I have no objection to wringing Gaddafi's neck, but I do not believe that decision belongs to the President alone. This is a matter for the Congress of the United States to decide. The nature and quality of debates on this matter should be illustrative. They might even change people's opinions about the present leadership qualities in the United States."


Just so. The Libyan dictator isn't exactly on my Christmas card list. He's a bad guy, has the blood of American servicemen and civilians on his hands (and has had so for decades) and belongs on any clear-thinking American's "better off dead" list.


But when it comes to the Constitution, I'm something of a stickler for form. Let's do this right. As both my long-time readers here will be aware, I consider the Iraq War Resolution to have sufficed as a declaration of war for Constitutional purposes, so I'd have the same reasonably wide benefit of the doubt for something like that here.


Monday, March 21, 2011

re: "Smart Diplomacy (By Other Means): Arab League "Ally" Criticizes Attacks In Libya"

Drew M. at Ace of Spades HQ watches how things fall apart, the center does not hold.


Money quote(s):


"We've heard how important Arab League support for the operation in Libya was and is. Supposedly its support was pivotal in getting the west moving and its participation would insulate us from charges of "imperialism" and "killing more Muslims"."


It's a nice fantasy; how's that working out for us?


"Apparently, the Arab League has a "Reset" button of its own."


They also, like the PLO and now various "Palestianian Authority" figures, have a tendency to say one thing in English and quite another for their Arabic language audiences.


"According to Obama and Clinton we're not leading this thing. That of course is absolute crap and the world can see it."


No really, NATO is in charge now. And the U.S. has as much to do with NATO's goings-on as it does with the U.N. Security Council's.





re: "President Obama Goes to War - Without Congress"

Wesley Clark, MD, at American Thinker ("a daily internet publication devoted to the thoughtful exploration of issues of importance to Americans") considers the Constitutionalities and legalities.


Just read the whole thing.


_____


Hat tip to KG at Crusader Rabbit ("FOR LIBERTY").



Sunday, March 20, 2011

re: "Libya, Libya, Libya"

The Curmudgeon Emeritus at Eternity Road opines on strategy and national interests.


Money quote(s):


"The most consequential error a commander can make is erroneously assuming that he knows his enemy's objective. Indeed, the bulk of analysis during a ground engagement goes into deducing the enemy's objective from his tactics. The underlying principle is so fundamental that it's almost invisible: You're fighting specifically to deny the enemy his objective, and to misconceive it all but guarantees that he'll reach it despite you.


On the other side of the ledger is your objective: the specific goal you're trying to reach in the circumstances before you. Oftentimes, it's merely the negation of your enemy's objective. In simple, two-contestant actions, that's almost always the case. That implies that at the end, either one of you will win and the other will lose, or both of you will retreat from your campaigns, having thwarted one another."


A commander on the ground has to worry about both tactics and operational art. Americans are spectacularly good at this stuff, btw. However, those are just the first two rungs of the ladder; there's strategy and grand strategy. But knowing your own objectives is essential and figuring out your adversary's is nearly as important.


"There are many players in this game. They're not limited to the Qaddafist forces and the rebels opposing them. The situation entangles many of the nations of Europe and the Middle East, plus supra-national forces such as the Muslim Brotherhood. America's own objectives are highly muddled, as it's unclear what outcome would benefit us at all, much less more than all other possible outcomes."


I like the way he thinks. Nice and convoluted-y.


"(A) good guideline for messes such as Libya is to defer making any irrevocable decisions until clarity should arrive. That guideline will sometimes leave us sitting on our hands while a golden opportunity passes by...but it will always prevent us from expending American blood and treasure to no gain, or to our ultimate rue."


&


"For the present, it's best to watch and wait. Given our military power and the relative weakness of all the other participants, no configuration of circumstances is likely to arise that couldn't possibly be undone in the future. Let's have a little clarity before exposing more of our bravest citizens to flying lead and anti-aircraft fire."

re: "Good Hunting"

Grim at Blackfive ("the paratrooper of love") gives credit where it's due.


Money quote(s):


"More and more I find myself writing positive things about Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who has come through once again."


&


"Assuming the New York Times' coverage is accurate -- a leap of faith better fit for a Sunday -- it was Secretary Clinton who corrected our course this time. We are fortunate to have her in her current post: for my money she's a far better secretary of state than any of her recent predecessors. I only regret that she wasn't successful in 2008 in seeking a higher post. Well done, Ma'am."


re: "Frenchies Lead the Way"

Emperor Misha at The Anti-Idiotarian Rottweiler ("HQ of the Rottweiler Empire. An Affiliate of the VRWC.") has some common-sense rules which may apply to U.S. military intervention in (okay, over) Libya.


Money quote(s):


"(W)e have a few principles that we like to adhere to whenever that question comes up:


1) If you fuck with the U.S., you die. It may take a long time coming, but we don’t forget and we don’t forgive. You WILL die.


2) We always talk about our commitment to and support of freedom and democracy. We mean it too, so if you’re a fuckwit, genocidal tinpot tyrant who likes to mow civilians down with automatic weapons, you better look over your shoulder, pissant, because we’ll be coming and Hell rides with us.


3) Don’t fuck with us. If you choose to do so, see 1)."





Saturday, March 19, 2011

re: "My Goals For Our Libyan Adventure"

Rand Simberg at Transterrestrial Musings ("Biting Commentary about Infinity…and Beyond!") sets realistic goals.

Money quote(s):

"I don’t really care who wins, as long as Colonel Whathisname loses. I think that attempting to influence the outcome of events beyond that are far too problematic, with poor prospects for success, and large prospects for quagmire."

Goals should be realistic and achievable. Check.

"He needs to be reminded that actions have consequences — something that he seemed to have forgotten in the transition from Bush to Obama — and if he doesn’t live long enough to learn the lesson, then his successor(s) needs to know it. If we are to rid the world of tyranny, we have to get the proper incentives in place, and one of those lessons should be, if you want to enjoy a comfortable retirement, you don’t slaughter your own people when your rule is challenged."

Ridding the world of tyranny isn't anywhere in our founding documents; ridding America of tyranny (and maintaining that freedom) definitely is.

re: "Jaw-Dropping Obama Quotes of the Day"

Aaron Worthing at Patterico's Pontifications ("Harangues that Just Make Sense") doesn't buy waffling dressed up as something else.

Money quote(s):

"(L)ook, I’m not saying that there is no argument for staying out of it. I personally think we should have done something long ago. But I respect the other side."

&

"Exactly when did Gaddafi have legitimacy? A dictator is illegitimate every day of his rule." (Emphasis in original text. - CAA)

Friday, March 18, 2011

re: "Hiding stuff from UKIP"

Gawain Towler at England Expects shows why things like Home Leave are so important in keeping diplomats in touch with their own countrymen.


Money quote(s):


"(W)hat this rare moment of frankness actually shows is quite how out of touch this unamed British diplomat is with the political reality on the ground in the UK. If he is doing his job, as Ambrose Bierce put it of engaing in 'the patriotic art of lying for one's country', then he really ought to go back to the UK, sit in a pub and talk to some people in order to lie more effectively."


&


"(T)his British diplomat thinks it is funny to be witholding from the 'likes of Ukip and the Daily Express' - read the people of Britain, the very real and damaging aspects of the current EU response to the Economic crisis, particularly sharing the joke with our competitors. It also shows how ignorant and behind the curve our Government's advisors are when it comes with negotiating with our continental friends."


Thursday, March 17, 2011

re: "Blood money paid for release of CIA operative"

Uncle Jimbo at Blackfive ("the paratrooper of love") looks at the big picture in terms of the laws of nations.

Money quote(s):

"There are many reasons that this is a tremendous blow to the safety and security of all Americans overseas and our countries security. First it completely undermines the concept of diplomatic immunity and will certainly result in kidnappings, captures and threats against State Department personnel world wide. Davis shold never have been taken into custody; the second he flashed that special passport, the Pakistanis should have said "Crap!" and then turned him immediately over to us. They would have had every right to boot him from the country, but they had an obligation to release him. This alone sets an awful precedent and if the mighty US can be forced to pay blood money for the release of protected personnel, what about the rest of the countries? Their diplomats are now fair game as well."

This is why our diplomats should be armed, as Mr. Davis was. If it's okay to bring back the Anglo-Saxon custom of Wergeld (and we should call it that, rather than qisas), it's okay to bring back the Anglo-Saxon custom of self-defense.

"(N)ow we have subjugated US and international laws and treaties to the religious extremism contained in sharia law. WOW! What an absolutely insane precedent to set. It is one thing for Hillary to throw on a scarf when she is parleying with some of the marginally-civilized, misogynistic bastards we deal with and even sometimes call allies. It is quite another to overturn centuries of hard won safeguards for diplomatic personnel that enable us to deal with friends and enemies to hopefully avoid continuations of diplomacy by other means. Now that Islam has the last word, we might all want to do some boning up on Ilsamic do's and don'ts in case we decide to set foot outside the US.

And of course this is another example of the gutless, cringing whipped-dog, bong hit diplomacy our President specializes in. The correct answer to the Pakistanis when the took custody of Davis would have been the ticking of a clock counting down. If an ally is willing to do this, then they no longer need to be an ally."

Pakistan, like Saudi Arabia, often tries to have it both ways with us. This is not to be encouraged.

re: "Obama Pays Ransom For American Diplomat"

Federale ("Federal Service Guarantees Citizenship") explains why this was not necessarily a good idea.

Money quote(s):

"(S)ubmission to Islamist and Pakistani tribal traditions have superceded international treaties that have been in effect for years. Not to mention the hundreds of years of customary law that granted imunity to diplomats. All this thrown under the bus to promote sharia law and the supremacy of Islam in the world.

This incident could have been easily ended by the U.S. informing the Pakistani government that their holding of Davis was what it was, an act of war. The U.S. could have seized a Pakistani diplomat in retaliation, cut off military and economic aid, stopped issuing immigrant and non-immigrant visas to Pakistanis, canceling all outstanding visas or expelling some or all Pakistani diplomats from the U.S. Anyone of these actions would have forced the Pakistani government to comply with international law"

At this point, I suspect that paying Wergeld was the least bad of the various options available.

Tuesday, March 15, 2011

re: "Disgrace: American-Trained Forces Arrested for Israeli Family Massacre"

Diana West at Big Peace comments on a recent article by Aaron Klein (at World Net Daily) about the massacre of Rabbi Fogel, his wife Ruth, and three of their children, Yoav, Elad, and Hadas (ages 10 years, 4 years, and 3 months, respectively).

You very well may not have seen any coverage of this story before.

Money quote(s):

"Wasn’t training PA forces a pet project of Bush-special envoy-turned-Obama-ex-national-security-adviser Gen. Jim Jones? He who thought Israeli concerns about security were the problem?"

&

"(T)he Itamar family massacre wasn’t the first time US-trained Palestinian terrorists killed."

Monday, March 14, 2011

re: "Report: State Department Spokesman PJ Crowley Resigns"

Drew M. at Ace of Spades HQ notes a personnel change at the State Department.

Quote(s):

"Normally not that big of a deal but this guy is a real tool, even by the low standards one generally has for professional mouthpieces and people who work at the State Department."

Now, that's just mean. Like shooting a man's suit.

"Crowley's comments got lost in the bigger news of Libya and then Japan but his fate was pretty well sealed on Friday when Obama was asked about them and Manning's treatment in general."

"(P)utting the President in that spot is not a career enhancing move."

Drew's dislike of Crowley goes back to 2009, as he explains:

"If you follow the link, you'll see that I was not amused at the use of the word "debate" to describe the slaughter of peaceful protesters. My language was a tad bit harsh and somewhat unprofessional but I was infuriated at the time. In retrospect if I could do it over again...I"d use even harsher language.

Not that the next mouthpiece will be better or the policy they will be spinning for will be any more coherent but I'm happy to see this guy go."

A/S Crowley resigns

As my esteemed colleagues at The Skeptical Bureaucrat, Life After Jerusalem, and Diplopundit have noted, Philip J. Crowley, the Assistant Secretary for Public Affairs (and the Department of State's spokesman), has resigned as a result of some remarks he made recently at what was, I think, supposed to be an off-the-record venue.

That'll happen.

Just the other day, I mentioned how "A/S Crowley (Colonel, U.S. Air Force Retired) has an unenviable job."

And that "I wouldn't take it at gunpoint. Well, not that anyone's likely to ever offer me any job anywhere near the assistant secretary level, but he has to walk a very fine line between needing to put lipstick (our lipstick) on a pig (our pig) and uttering any actual untruths.

Diplomacy can be like that."

Make of my remarks what you will.

(And I can confirm that no one has offered me the job.)

Now, if they were looking for a spokes-model....



Sunday, March 13, 2011

re: "Gaffes and Guns (Or, What To Do About Libya?)"

TSB at The Skeptical Bureaucrat ("Giving my fellow Americans the view from my cubicle") notes a Washington "glamour don't."

Money quote(s):

"our two most important intelligence officials committed an official gaffe - meaning, they blurted out the truth - while testifying before a Senate committee"

Politicians and the media (but I repeat myself) hate being told something that's so if it contradicts what they wish were so. They didn't tell the committee what they wanted to have happen, they told the committee the conclusion that the facts as they were known, and analysis thereupon, led them to reach.

"Naturally, this led to calls for Clapper to resign. But it might, more productively, have led people to wonder how we can change the dynamics in Libya so as to favor the Libyan rebels."

_____

Update (2/24/2011): Clearly TSB was onto something here, as the U.S. and several allies are now changing the dynamics.

re: "Muslim Immigration into the UK: Part Three"

El Ingles (writing as Pike Bishop) at Gates of Vienna ("At the siege of Vienna in 1683 Islam seemed poised to overrun Christian Europe.We are in a new phase of a very old war.") fleshes out Ralph Peter's scenario for Britain.

Money quote(s):

"Normally, technologically and economically more advanced peoples colonize peoples who are less advanced in these regards. This is why, try as they might, the native American Indians could not effectively oppose, much less reverse, the colonization they underwent at the hands of the British and other European peoples. However, in our case, the opposite will be true, as our colonization will be taking place at the hands of technologically and economically inferior peoples who, barring the odd Afghan on the back of a truck, have to be let in by our immigration apparatus to be here at all.

What this means, in a nutshell, is that this colonization will take place only as long as we allow it to, and we will not allow it forever. Eventually we will completely cast aside the various psychological restraints that have been imposed upon us (and without which said colonization could never have occurred at all), resist it, and, at least to some extent, reverse it. There are only two ways this can happen: a) in a relatively orderly and civilized fashion, when a government with the political will to deal with the problem finally comes to power, or b) in an exceptionally violent and brutal fashion, with government playing by no means the only role, and perhaps not even a particularly large one.

It would be asinine to argue that something of this nature could not happen in modern Europe when we have so recently witnessed similar events in the Balkans."

Ralph Peters surfaced this possibility in his much-discussed New York Post article.

"The war that awaits us is tribal war, and we assure our readers that it does not consist of generals exchanging pleasantries before battle, folk riding forth and shooting at each other a bit, and some backslapping over a glass of port at the end. Rather, it consists of people identifying entire communities as their enemies and more or less indiscriminately killing them off until the threats they are perceived to constitute have been reduced to acceptable levels, whatever those levels may be. It is surely one of the greatest failures in the history of (supposedly) democratic government as an institution that so many otherwise prosperous, peaceful European countries have been deliberately hurling themselves along this path despite the fact that the eventual outcome must have been reasonably obvious from the start, and is painfully so now.

When such tribal conflict breaks out in Britain (and it certainly cannot be avoided without radical changes to immigration and other policies), the only way for it to come to an end will be for the overwhelming majority of the Muslim population of Britain to leave permanently. There will be no Good Friday Agreement to bring it to an end, and, for deep structural reasons, no equivalent agreement can exist."

Tom Kratman explored a similar possibility in his 2010 novel Caliphate.

"It will be clear to the British people in the case of tribal conflict between them and their Muslim fifth column that defeat will result in the disappearance of their civilization, their way of life, and their existence as a people. Accordingly, they will have to win it, which means they will have to do what needs to be done to win it, which means they will have to do a great many violent and unpleasant things, things that, though quite inconceivable to many at present, will seem right and obvious to most when the nature of the conflict has become sufficiently clear.

We would like to avoid this, but feel that the window of opportunity is closing rather more quickly than some might imagine. Our greatest concern is that, despite the growing anger and alarm on the part of the British people with respect to mass immigration in general and Muslim immigration in particular, these feelings might not give rise to the necessary coalescence of political will on the part of our elected representatives in time to try and prevent the horrendous future that otherwise awaits us. We say again that the only course of action that gives us the slightest chance of avoiding the horrors outlined here is that of shutting down Muslim immigration and refusing to subsidize the higher Muslim fertility that is pushing us towards the brink."

Boldface added for emphasis.

"There is no theological or legal distinction in Islam between ‘moderates’ and ‘radicals.’ These terms are part of a Western discourse which seeks to grapple with the alarming possibility that a religion adhered to, more or less strictly, by approximately 20% of the world’s population, is fundamentally antithetical to everything good in our way of life. Trying to define a moderate Muslim is an exercise in futility."

Moderate Muslims are some of those things you know when you see them. Like my former uniformed comrades-in-arms, serving their adopted country whether it makes their imam happy or not.

"(L)aws, treaties, and the like are human constructs and therefore open to being changed by human efforts on the basis of human concerns. And changed they will be, sooner or later. If it disapproves, the EU will just have to invade us and show us the error of our ways."

El Ingles raises a good intellectual point. Only the the Ten Commandments were carved by the finger of God onto the faces of stone tablets. Pretty much everything else is the creation of mankind, and subject to revocation, rebuttal, or revision.

(To those who would assert that the Koran, in its classic Arabic version, is the literal perfect word of Allah, I must demur, since that is a matter of faith and I am not a Muslim.)

"It must be observed that all real debts have certain characteristics, most obviously principals (initial amounts owed), and interest rates. If one believes that, once upon a time, Britain owed a debt of some sort to recently independent peoples in ex-British Empire territories, then one must give some idea of the size of the debt, the rate at which that debt accrued interest, and the conditions that would have to be satisfied for that debt to have been fully paid off. In the absence of this information, the ‘debt’ becomes nothing more than an instrument of moral intimidation."

The parallels to the perennial issue of slavery reparations are obvious.

Further, in the U.S. we're not subjected to this particular version of guilt infliction, but rather assertions of the obvious and unassailable virtues of "diversity."

Uh huh.

"(M)any ex-British territories have either stagnated or gone backwards since the Union Jack ceased to fly over them. Many of their people are desperate to leave them, which means that they are desperate to leave the conditions that they and their people have created."

Blaming colonialism will only get you so far.

"If the people of these countries are to flee them and, officially or unofficially, take refuge in a Western country like Britain, then they must, in some fashion, convince the British people to let them in. But given that they already have their own countries, they will have to come up with something especially persuasive. This is the ‘debt.’ None of the people who insist that they should be allowed into Britain because of this supposed debt have ever given the slightest thought to whether or not this debt might already have been paid off, because they have never taken their own argument seriously in the first place. It is simply what these folk say when they feel that access to the UK, for them or their compatriots back home, might be jeopardized."

Thus far, it is not yet a principle of international human rights law that guarantees free movement of peoples irrespective of sovereign national borders. Yet.

"None of this should be taken to imply that there never was any debt at all. Rather, it means that when this debt mysteriously refuses to go away no matter how many immigrants are allowed in, and no matter how much Britain is demographically transformed, then it has become a fake debt, an instrument used to cudgel the ex-imperial master around the head and induce him to allow the ex-imperial subjects to escape the squalor, corruption, poverty, and violence that, they now realize, tend to ensue when they are left to their own devices.

Our ex-imperial peoples wanted to be independent of us. Now they are, with everything that that implies. We wish them the best of luck in their own countries. But all debts are now paid."

I do rather like this simple, bookkeeping approach to debt. If someone is going to imply a debt is owed in order to collect some benefit from the debtor, then by all means lets quantify the current balance of that debt, and any rate of increase. That should be done before paying even a cent.

"(I)f Turkey ever becomes a full member of an EU that Britain is still a member of, with the Turks being granted full freedom of movement across all the EU member states, then the British people will simply have to revolt. If this be treason, rest assured we shall make the most of it."

Britain has already had the joy of seeing many thousands of non-EU citizens crossing the whole of Europe to the coast of France in order to find some way to cross the channel into Britain's welfare state. That's to say nothing of the EU citizens who flock to take advantage of generous salaries, standards of living, and eventual unemployment benefits.

"If there is any particular reason for the British to allow themselves to be colonized by Muslims, whatever their provenance, now is the time for it to be explained."

Saturday, March 12, 2011

re: "Ho hum."

Col. B. Bunny at Eternity Road is asking a couple of excellent questions.

Money quote(s):

"Are there any elected officials within 100 miles of Washington, D.C. with a sense of urgency about national security? I’d settle for Congressional majorities composed of people who’ve simply seen “The Longest Day” and “Saving Private Ryan.” Forget profound strategic insight."

It's increasingly unclear to me whether there are any officials, in or out of uniform, at the policy making level who can conceptualize the military art at above the Operational level.

America does quite well at the Operational level.

American troops are actually positive geniuses at the Tactical level.

But when you start to talk Strategy or, heavens forfend, Grand Strategy, it becomes apparent that nobody's reading their Clausewitz, Sun Tzu, or even their Mao.

re: "The End of The Counterterrorism Blog"

Well, this can't be good news.

(Seriously, I wish them all well in their present and future pursuits.)

Friday, March 11, 2011

re: "Leader of Free World recognizes Libyan transitional govt."

Uncle Jimbo at Blackfive ("the paratrooper of love") once again expresses a delightful phrase:

"the world's foremost practitioner of bong hit diplomacy."

re: "Islam’s sterilizing homogeneity."

Col. B. Bunny at Eternity Road examines history and culture.

Money quote(s):

"The Golden Age of Islam. Puhleez. More like the Gold Age of Plunder plus living off the doomed remnants of local Persian and Egyptian scholars and artists who had a chance at independent thinking before the Islamic Curtain of Intellectual Darkness descended."

Yeah, that's kind of the under-mentioned part of the PC "cultural and scientific contributions of Islam" riff. And they're off to a great start doing it to Europe, btw.

"As we all know by now, outright rejection of Muslim doctrine is apostasy and it and its country cousins are a green light to the murder of the apostate by the do-it-yourselfers perpetually on duty in Muslim lands for housecleaning of this type. A fatwa by some imamical jackass in the Hindu Kush seems to be sufficient authorization for DIY teams (aka mobs) in Morocco to dispatch too-independent thinkers, though I get the impression that a “boys will be boys” approach will be taken in the case of too much local initiative, too much zeal in the service of Allah. There’s no shortage of Islamic zeal anywhere in the world and what’s one more dead infidel in a crowded world anyway?"

This is one of those under-mentioned downsides to Sharia. Next slide please.

"Also good for anyone in Muslim lands to avoid is blasphemy, an exceedingly elastic concept, that encompasses, for example, Christians who get into neighborhood, land, water, or business disputes with Muslims. After reading about several cases, I gather that it is a common practice for Christians in disputes with Muslims to try to gain a psychological advantage over their Muslim opponents by insulting to Mohammed or Islam. An example of this might be, “Sir, kindly permit me to say that I think your idea of the boundary line between our two properties is in error. Let us obtain an actual plat of the properties and see where the line lies.” Naturally, blasphemy charges (with death penalty) are brought when Christians insist on such reckless and insulting ways of settling disputes."

In a seminar-type setting today, a colleague made an ignorant comment about how the U.S. tries to implement U.S.-style democracy in other countries. She was referring, I believe, to Iraq and/or Afghanistan.

Hello? In neither case have we done anything like establishing a U.S.-style representative democracy. In both cases we've helped establish European-style parliamentary democracies, which are not the same things at all.

(Don't believe me? Tell me who America's prime minister is?)

re: "The world turned upside down."

The Armorer at Castle Argghhh! is getting schooled (as well as sharing lessons learned).

Money quote(s):

"I'm at a conference this week, where we're discussing the the range of tools under development for use in certain aspects of analysis of the current state of play in warfare as conducted by the West these days."

Sounds painful. Mainly because I know exactly the sort of toolkit he's talking about.

"(O)ne thing you have to remember when you fight an optional war - don't be surprised if the *other* guy sees it as an existential war, and fights it to the knife - when your own objectives and sensitivities won't allow you to fight it like that."

That bad old enemy keeps interfering with my well-laid plans. No fair!


re: "Where are the Carriers?"

Lex at Neptunus Lex ("The unbearable lightness of Lex. Enjoy!") wonders what I was wondering.

(The difference is that he knows how to reason his way to an answer on this one.)

Money quote(s):

"That was the question that once used to spring unbidden to presidential lips when an international crises bubbled up. It wasn’t that the sheer destructive power of the carrier’s air wing and her escorts were immediately put to use, so much as the weight of all that firepower rested heavily on tempestuous brows: An aircraft carrier strike group tends to alter the calculus.

So it’s with interest we read in Bill Gertz’ Inside the Ring that, with Libya burning and the tyrant starting to gradually throttle the nascent rebellion that President Obama has not shifted anyone anywhere"

It's a ship after all. It's supposed to move, to keep moving, so moving it around isn't going to hurt anything and, as a precaution ahead of time, can likely save days when hours will count.

"(F)or 9 months of the year anyway, given our rotational capabilities with only 11 big decks, the Mediterranean is less a destination than a throughway.

Once she’s already forward deployed, it’s an almost trivial thing to shift a carrier between the 5th and 6th fleet OPCON lines. Doing so can send a message. So can not doing so: The tyrant who our president has said “has to go”? Has a free hand.

The rebels who stood against him? None of our concern.

If we really cared about the humanitarian element of this crisis, we’d come right out and say that. Having the rebels know that there is no NATO or “international community” cavalry coming to the rescue might save a lot of lives in the long run by suppressing false hopes."